Politics & Media
Nov 20, 2008, 06:33AM

Some not-so-pretty graphs for Conservatives

While not a doomsday prediction, this column offers some pretty sober demographic breakdowns over the past 50 years or so.

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These anayses predicate the ensuing civil war among the convervative commentariat (see: Review, National), in that some pundits fear a Conversative part with an insignificant young and educated base:

Figure 2. The Decline of Married, White Christians in the U.S. Electorate since the 1950s


These changes in the social composition of the American electorate are politically significant because married white Christians now constitute the core of the Republican electoral coalition. Not only are married white Christians more likely to support the GOP than other Americans, but, as the data displayed in Figure 3 show, the gap between these two groups has widened from less than 10 percentage points in the 1950s to 25 percentage points in the first decade of the 21st century.


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